23
Aug
09

The iPhone phenomenon coming to an end?

Since the iPhone was released a few years back, it seems that every new phone coming out was trying to become the next “iPhone Killer.” Never in a million years did Apple ever think that the iPhone Killer was, well Apple themselves.

Once I heard earlier this year about Google Voice, I knew it was going to become a hot commodity. Not only has it been a widely popular and sought after beta release, but it’s pointed the largest flaws with the iPhone application market. As many already know, Apple blocked the Google Voice application from being used on the iPhone. Not only did this cause a controversy among iPhone users and Google Voice fans, but the FCC about the rejection terms behind market.

I do agree that Google Voice can present a huge problem with the cell phone markets, and could threaten the business market entirely. Why? Well because you can use Google Voice and spend 0 minutes of your account plan. But realistically, it’s all about who can meet the consumers needs better? Currently we’re in a not so great economic period, and if a company comes along and gives away something so useful and at such a low cost (FREE!!!), then why shouldn’t people use it, and why should a company block it?

In all honesty, it’s not about the iPhone at all. In fact, Apple doesn’t have anything to do with the cell phone market. That’s AT&T’s problem. So why are they blocking it? Well if you ask them, it’s functionality of the application, and not the purpose of it at all. After reading their responses to the FCC, you can obviously tell their reaching for the heavens here. They claim the application replaces the functions of the iPhone, but it doesn’t do that at all. It uses an entirely separate feature for doing this and does not disable, replace, or interfere with any of the iPhone’s features.

Which all of this goes back to my main point, iPhone could be killing themselves this time. So much controversy and media has ben centered around this, it’s hard to miss the Apples main problem is their limitation of a limitless market. Their own marketing strategy, “there’s an app for that…” is no longer true. Google Voice” Yeah, no app for that, but please subscribe to our overpriced mobile plan until we up the price when our next version comes out. I live and die by my Blackberry, and will never use a phone that determines my carrier for me. Business doesn’t work that way, and neither will I.

05
Aug
09

The Woes Of Working For A Public Company

During our earnings call yesterday, it daunted on my how connected I am on the public sector. Here was two extremely important businessmen, our CEO and CFO, discussing our earnings and statistics, and I kept thinking “I hope I calculated everything right.”

My main contribution to our company is the constant currency impacts. It was never such a big issues until this time last year, when the US dollar was strengthening and we were getting hurt by our currency impacts. Now, everything we post externally has a constant currency impact associated with it.

This quarter, we were lucky enough to have “help” due to currency impacts. Certain business units had a loss, and that loss wasn’t so bad as it showed because the currency rates helped us out a bit. So I’m not sure if that will make it more or less scrutinized then any other situation.

So during this call, I hear all of my numbers being called out directly. Which is somewhat nerve-racking, especially when the investors start their barrage of questions after the scripted call. I have to admit that our CFO has a gift when having to deal with the pressure of these calls. What he says will be torn to shreds, analyzed, and dissected countless times over the next few months. We are also watching, as I’m sure he is too, our stock price during the call. Luckily, it marginally dropped, and has since been flat.

Overall, it’s been a good 5 months for me here, and I’m excited to learn the things that I have. Being in the public eye is a bit strange at times, but a good learning experience. Hopefully with the future will be as bright, and I can day take the call instead of listening to it nervously.

02
Aug
09

Cash for clunkers? No thanks. I’d rather not let the government buy me off…

Really, cash for clunkers? I understand that at the current economic condition, many of us are tightening our belts, and we are hoping something “too good to be true” to come knocking on our door. But this does really seem “too good to be true,” especially since we’re just putting our country into even more debt. With all the crisis around, hunger, war, povery, financial crimes, etc., is our answer to go out and buy a new car?

Now that the government decided to bail more people out, and increase the budget, let’s see if we see if we get the same population of people in mortgage debt to now get into auto debt. Isn’t this the same thing? Helping those who “can’t” afford to, a way to “almost afford to?”

25
Mar
09

Let’s Move On From AIG Already!!

I’m really getting tired of people blaming AIG already. It’s been proven that they did not break any laws, but continuing to dwell on the subject has gotten old. Rep. Barney Frank just called for the federal government to do a take-over of AIG and try to make it easier to get back the some of the $165 million it paid the execs. Democratic Sen. Charles Schumer wants Congress to tax the HELL out of the bonuses, something like 90%?! My personal favorite is how Republican Sen. Charles Grassley wants the AIG executives to either resign or commit suicide.

During President Obama’s campaign and a large chunk of the first 60 days of his presidency, he has shown patience and determination in keeping his eyes on the prize of two major economic goals: creating around 4 million jobs and getting credit going again. True, the plunging of the country’s financial crapper is taking longer than everyone wants, but I’m willing to give him some breathing room on that one, because that’s a pretty big piece of crap to drain overnight. However, Obama seems to have taken his eye off the ball a little bit and gotten pulled into the publicity. It seems that the plan isn’t to pull the economy from the bottomless pit of port-o-potty’s, but to point some fingers on who we think got us into this crap. We gave billions of taxpayer dollars to AIG, and the company has the balls to pay out huge bonuses to the execs, because you know they’re hurting too!

Now I get that AIG had some contractual obligations to these execs, and it was either pay up to get sued, but shouldn’t we set a restriction that voids these types of contracts if the government is forced to step in and bail them out? Shouldn’t the government hear the full plan on what happens with the money they just forked over? I guess that’s another thing for the Prez to think about.

13
Mar
09

Billionaires are hurting too!

The total number of billionaires in the world fell from 1,125 in 2008 to 793 in 2009.  The financial meltdown wiped out $2 trillion from their net worth.  Most of you are saying the same thing as I am, “who cares!”  It’s all net worth, and not cash.  There is a difference when looking at a personal financial statement.  If somebody held a gun to their head and said “give me your billions or you die,” unless they had a 3 month window, it’s not going to happen.  The liquidity of their net worth is not very high and complicated to achieve.

Russians were the hardest hit with Moscow losing its title as the world’s billionaire capital to New York.  Bill Gates has become the richest man again, taking over the top spot with $40 billion after slipping to 3rd last year, when he was worth $58 billion.  How the hell can he survive on that?!  Warren Buffett fell to 2nd place with $37 billion, dropping $25 billion from last year.  Collectively, the top-three billionaires lost $68 billion in the year to Feb 13.  I’m setting up a donation account listed under “needy billionaires” at Chase Bank.

Steve Forbes said “Billionaires don’t have to worry about their next meal, but if their wealth is declining and you’re not creating numerous new billionaires, it means the rest of the world is not doing very well.”  In part, he’s right.  It goes to show that there’s just a lot less money to go around right now.  That’s vastly different from saying that there’s no money out there.  It’s just currently harder to come by, and the once cash flowing businesses are now penny pinching and suffering severe margin drops and revenue dips.  The money is out there, just not in the same places that it’s been.

05
Mar
09

What My 4 Year Old Taught Me About Savings

Recently we started giving my 4 year old an allowance for helping around the house.  It’s only a dime here and a dime there, but he’s EXTREMELY proud of his money and what he can do with it.  His ultimate idea right now is to only save to buy Star Wars stuff, but what he’s been great about is his patience and thoughtfulness with it all.

At 4 years old, he’s already gaining a really great understanding that if he waits longer, he’ll accumulate more money. We let him know how much he has, and how much certain things cost, and then he shrugs it off and waits.  Never throws a tantrum or ask to have more money.  If people had an understanding like this, there would be a lot less credit trouble in the country, purchases would be made with a lot more sense, and there actually would be a lot less purchases made.

We are a country that continues to purchase an excess.  An excess of whatever.  Don’t believe me?  Move.  You always realize how much crap you have when you move.  You ask yourself, where did this stuff come from?  How did we get it?  If you think about what you need out of all that stuff, there’s a good rule of thumb that if you don’t touch it within 30 days, then you don’t need it.

My wife and I recently had a discussion about what we could get rid of if we wanted to, and looking around, we have things that are just there.  Do we need it?  Uhh, no.  I’m sure we got it from things we once needed, shopping on a wimb, or a decorative idea that we never completed.  The point is, we could be sitting around on money.

What I mean is you can minimalize and profit from it.  Also, nothing would change.  If we keep the objects and items that we use now, and sell the rest, our lives really wouldn’t change.  Our kids wouldn’t have a different life, and our lifestyle remains the same.

I told Josh once he gets enough money, he could buy that Star Wars toy, and his response was, “but then I’d have no money.”  He’s brilliant!  But that’s another post….

10
Feb
09

So What If The Markets Keep Going Down??

Being in finance, I often field a lot of questions about the various markets.  One of the most repetitive questions I’ve heard is, “what happens of the stocks keep going down?”

Well there are various answers to this.  When you enter the market, you often answer questions about how conservative or aggressive you want to be.  If you are conservative in nature, then you may want to cash out and minimize your loss, but the wise investor knows this isn’t the best action.  Cashing out now will minimize your current loss.  It will stop your value from going down further and you can choose to do something else with your money.  The problem is that the values will go back up.  It most likely will take 1-3 years to fully bounce back, but it most assuredly will happen.

There is a really great statement used for investing, if you need the money within the next 5 years, then the stock market is probably not for you.  A person came to me a few months ago saying that she had $5,000 and she needed $15,000.  She wanted to know how to invest quickly to get to that amount within 6 months.  If anybody knew the answer to that, they’d be a mega-millionaire just by selling that secret alone.  EVERYONE wants to get the most amount of return in the shortest amount of time.  Truth is that it can’t be done.  Not without gambling and risking the entire amount that you are investing.  I’m sure people have done it, but if they tried to do it again, they’d fail.  If they tried it again 100 times, they’d fail.

Another question I get is they want to start an on-line business with no start-up capital, only takes a minimal amount of time, and can replace their entire income so they can only work part-time from now on.  Yeah, well I love pigs and even if I super-glued their wings on, I’d never throw it out a window and ask it to fly.  Starting a company takes more time then working a normal job.  You end up living the job and must bootstrap for a period of time just to get by.  You often have to give up benefits, vacation, and your 401K until the company really takes off and can sustain that extra expense.  Even if you happen to have a fantastic idea, the work you need to do to get started is like working two jobs.

Also, never take shortcuts!!  Just seeing the amount of foreclosure, job losses, portfolio declines, lay-offs, etc. should be enough to get you really interested in how to become secure in your finances.  Adjustable rate mortgages, not diversifying your portfolio, and not saving money are just a few of the many mistakes we need to learn from.

Nobody is perfect, and even the best financiers in the country doesn’t make every right decision.  But making the correct choices in what you can control and starting from the bottom can be the best decision you’ve made.   Quick money making schemes, get rich quick decision making, and living outside your means are all factors that have put the country in the current financial crisis.  Learning from our mistakes won’t correct our wrongs, but can protect yourself from being a part of it.

07
Feb
09

Top 10 List – What I Learned From Being Laid-Off

Hundreds of thousands of people were laid-off this week.  I found myself being swallowed in the latest unwanted trends and forced to hit the curb trying to find another way to make a living.  Although I understand the business sense behind the decision, it still sucks…

So I’ve compiled a list of odd ball things that I’ve learned about myself and about being laid-off in general.

  1. Even though it tastes better, home brewed coffee isn’t free. Even the worst tasting things taste a lot better when they’re free.
  2. When my dog follows me when I get home from work, it’s cute.  When it’s the entire day, not so cute.
  3. I always thought nap time was hard to deal with at work. MUCH harder when your bed is in the room next to you.
  4. You find it more difficult to talk yourself out of opening a bottle of wine at 10am.
  5. You’re depressed when you realize sports aren’t on during the day.
  6. You respond to email immediately versus putting them on a “to be answered later when you feel like it” list.
  7. Getting dressed up means brushing your teeth.
  8. You start to notice small things around the house. Like furniture you had no idea you owned.
  9. When your wife gives you that rare look, she’s not wanting a quickie.  She just needs you to move to the other side of the couch so she could finish cleaning around you.
  10. You start to make money saving excuses, like not changing clothes to save on the water bill from doing laundry or eating all the food in the fridge so it doesn’t have to work so hard keeping it all cold.

In all seriousness, losing your job isn’t funny.  THANKFULLY I quickly found another position at BMC Software.  It was offered to me on the last day of my curent job.  It REALLY works out since I’ve been trying to find a way into that company since we decided to come to Houston in 2001.  When we look at everything now, I’m kind of coming out of this with a bonus and an extended vacation. So I can’t complain.

Something like 598,000 were laid off in January.  I’m just glad I didn’t have to meet those people in a parking lot somewhere.  That could have been one hell of a traffic jam to the unemployment office.

The statistics are scary.  Having such a lifestyle change is never easy for whatever level your position is.  Nobody seems safe and nobody is prepared.  If you happen to be in the same boat, I wish you the best and hope you have a similar outcome as myself and find something just as quick.

18
Jan
09

Lindsee did it! She ran the EP5K!

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This morning, we all got to go downtown to watch Lindsee race in the EP5K marathon.  She finished with a time of 46 minutes and 49 seconds along with her friend Jennifer.  She had an average pace of 15 minutes and 04 seconds per mile.

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As you can see, both Josh and Lauren couldn’t be happier to be up at 4:30am to see their mama “race bad guys” as Josh put it.  Although Josh wasn’t too happy that she didn’t come in first, he was still proud of her regardless.  We had a sign we made for Josh to hold as his mama crossed the finish line.  He complained that it was too heavy, which is Josh code for “I don’t feel like it.”  Luckily he changed his mind and was proud to watch his mama run past us.

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We also had two friends that were running in the full marathon.  Jennifer Montestanto who finished the 26.2 miles in 4:44:20 and Robert Gutierrez who finished in 4:37:32.  Congratulations to both of them for running such a great race!

It was a really great day to run!  Cold enough to keep the runners cool and have Laurens hair stick straight up (like we need help with that), but still warm enough to make Josh sweat (which he can do during a blizzard).

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We’d also like to thank everyone who contributed to Lindsee’s fundraiser.  She managed to raise $300 for Bo’s Place, her chosen charity for the race.

The whole weekend turned out to be “race weekend” as we spent a large part of yesterday downtown getting Lindsee’s race packet an spending some time at Discovery Park.  For those of you who don’t know about the park, it’s a new style park in the heart of downtown Houston that has a really cool playground, restaurants, large fields to play in, large crowds, smell of fog, unsupervised kids, and a temporary ice rink that had about 2 inches of water currently sitting on top of it (damn that Houston weather!).  Josh’s favorite part of the park?  The big hill he can run down.  Although Lauren loved watching him run up and down the big hill.

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Lindsee will be running in another 5K race in about 2 months and we look forward to seeing her race in that one as well.  For those of you who are not aware yet, Lauren gets baptized on February 8th and we’ll be having a brunch to celebreate afterwards at our house.  If you are able to attend, please let Lindsee or I know so we can expect you.  I hope you all are well and congrats to all the people who were in the race.

08
Jan
09

Financial Risk and Flying Pigs

There is currently a belief that financial risk is easily measured. That we can stick some sort of risk-meter into the financial system and get an precise measurement of the risk of complex financial instruments. The poorly misguided belief that this risk-meter exists plays a key role in getting the financial system into the mess it is in. Of course, nothing has been learned. In a sense, we are trying to put wings on pigs and throwing them up in the air.  (Don’t try this at home, I am a professional trained pig tosser)  Risk sensitivity is expected to play a key role both in the future regulatory system and new areas such as executive compensation. Continue reading ‘Financial Risk and Flying Pigs’




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